In moments of tragedy, we are reminded that Self means holding steady in our own humanity, refusing to let grief or fear harden us. Others means extending that humanity outward — to the Rob Reiner family, whose loss is not theirs alone but felt in the wider circle of community and care. And Now means acting without delay, offering compassion, solidarity, and remembrance in the present, because empathy delayed is empathy denied.
May the Reiner family feel the strength of shared sorrow and the urgency of our collective embrace.
Rich Garling - Just Sayin...
This blog presents my thoughts on a variety of topics including Politics (local, State, National, International), Bicycling, hiking, gardening and anything else that comes to mind.
Monday, December 15, 2025
In Sorrow
Friday, December 5, 2025
Margins, Mandates, and Misrepresentation - No Mandate, Just Margins — What 2024 Really Told Us
Donald Trump may have won the presidency in 2024, but he did not win a mandate. His victory was built on razor-thin margins in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona — states where a few thousand votes determined the outcome. The Electoral College amplified those narrow wins into a decisive-looking 312–226 tally, but beneath the surface, the people remain deeply divided.
|
🗺️ 2024 Presidential Election Margins by State |
||
|
State |
Winner |
Margin of Victory |
|
PA |
Trump |
1.80% |
|
WI |
Trump |
1.40% |
|
GA |
Trump |
2.00% |
|
AZ |
Trump |
1.60% |
|
NV |
Harris |
1.20% |
|
MI |
Trump |
2.50% |
|
NC |
Trump |
3.50% |
|
FL |
Trump |
5.00% |
|
TX |
Trump |
6.50% |
|
MN |
Harris |
3.00% |
|
NH |
Harris |
2.80% |
|
VA |
Harris |
4.50% |
|
OH |
Trump |
7.00% |
|
Safe Red States |
Trump |
10% or more |
|
Safe Blue States |
Harris |
10% or more |
🔍 What This Shows
- Swing states decided the race: Margins under 2% in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada.
- Electoral College leverage: Trump’s narrow wins translated into a decisive 312–226 EV victory.
- Fragile balance: A shift of ~300,000 votes across Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Georgia could have flipped the outcome.
📊 The Numbers Behind the Narrative
• Popular vote: Trump 49.8%, Harris 48.3% — a gap of just 1.5%.
• Battleground margins: Pennsylvania (+1.8%), Wisconsin (+1.4%), Georgia (+2.0%), Arizona (+1.6%).
🏛 Senate & Electoral College Imbalance
The unfairness isn’t just in the Electoral College — it starts in the Senate.
• Small states vs. large states: Wyoming’s 580,000 residents get the same two Senators as California’s 39 million.
• Electoral College distortion: Because each state’s electoral votes include its Senate seats, small states get a built-in bonus.
• Per capita power: A Wyoming voter has nearly 4x the weight of a Californian voter in presidential elections.
This imbalance means that if representation were proportional to population, Harris’s strong showings in California, Illinois, and New York would have carried more weight — potentially flipping the Electoral College outcome.
As I explained in my articles on redistricting and comparing our current system to a parliamentary system, there is significant Electoral College distortion: A handful of close states created the illusion of a sweeping victory, while many smaller States have representation that does not reflect their total population.
These figures show that the country is not united around a single vision. Instead, it is split almost evenly, with neither side commanding overwhelming public confidence.
⚖️ What Voters Really Said
• Undecided on direction: The electorate remains torn on cultural and political identity, with no clear consensus.
• Economy as the anchor: Where voters did show clarity was on the economy. Inflation, wages, and the cost of living dominated the campaign. Democrats were not far off in their message — Harris’s platform on middle-class relief resonated, even if it didn’t carry enough swing states.
• Fragmented mandate: Trump’s win reflects frustration and division more than a unified endorsement of his agenda.
🔄 Why This Matters
• No sweeping mandate: Governing as if the country delivered a clear verdict risks deepening instability.
• Democrats’ foothold: Their economic message kept them competitive, showing that voters are still open to alternatives.
• Fragile legitimacy: The razor-thin margins remind us that power in America often hinges on turnout in a few counties, not a national consensus.
The 2024 election was not a landslide, nor a mandate. It was a contest decided by margins, amplified by the Electoral College. The people remain undecided about the nation’s direction, except on one point: the economy matters most. Democrats were closer to the pulse of that concern than the final tally suggests. The lesson is clear — America’s future will be shaped not by sweeping mandates, but by the narrow margins of persuasion and turnout.
Thursday, December 4, 2025
Duty vs. Sedition: Who Defines Loyalty?
Let’s be clear: when Donald Trump accused six Democratic lawmakers of “seditious behavior punishable by death,” he wasn’t just throwing around inflammatory rhetoric — he was flipping the Constitution on its head.
These lawmakers, all veterans or national security professionals, had posted a video reminding service members of something they’re taught from day one: you must refuse illegal orders. That’s not rebellion. That’s the law.
But Trump called it sedition. Death-worthy sedition.
Let that sink in.
⚖️ What the Law Actually Says
Under the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ), soldiers are required to obey lawful orders — and just as importantly, they’re required to disobey unlawful ones. Orders that violate the Constitution, target civilians, or use the military against citizens? Those are illegal. Refusing them isn’t optional — it’s a duty.
This isn’t some fringe interpretation. It’s baked into military training, reinforced by history, and grounded in the oath every service member takes: to defend the Constitution, not any one person.
🔥 Trump’s Rhetoric vs. Constitutional Reality
So when lawmakers say, “Refuse illegal orders,” they’re echoing the law. When Trump says that’s “seditious behavior punishable by death,” he’s redefining loyalty — not to the country, but to himself.
That’s not just dangerous. It’s authoritarian.
🧠 Why This Matters
This isn’t about party lines. It’s about whether we still recognize the difference between constitutional duty and personal allegiance. If reminding troops of their legal obligations is now considered treason, then we’ve entered a very dark chapter.
Wednesday, December 3, 2025
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Civil vs. Criminal Tax Enforcement: Why Some Get a “Hand Slap” and Others Face Prison
When it comes to taxes, not all enforcement is created equal. Most Americans who fall behind on payments face liens, garnishments, or lawsuits — civil remedies designed to collect debt. But in rare cases, the government escalates to criminal prosecution, charging individuals with fraud and tax evasion. The difference between these two pathways shapes public perception of accountability and fairness. Recent high-profile cases — Hunter Biden and Senator Jim Justice — highlight this divide.
Case Study 1: Hunter Biden
Hunter Biden’s tax troubles were treated as criminal offenses. He pleaded guilty to three felony tax charges and six misdemeanors, admitting he failed to pay about $1.4 million in taxes between 2014 and 2019 while filing false returns. Prosecutors argued his conduct showed fraudulent intent, crossing the line from civil delinquency into criminal tax evasion. Combined with his conviction for lying about drug use when buying a firearm, Hunter faced over 40 years in prison until pardoned by his father, President Joe Biden, in December 2024.
Case Study 2: Senator Jim Justice
Senator Jim Justice, by contrast, faced a civil lawsuit from the IRS and DOJ for over $5 million in unpaid taxes dating back to 2009. Within hours of the lawsuit, Justice agreed to settle and repay the debt plus interest. Because prosecutors did not allege fraud — only delinquency — the case remained civil. Justice avoided criminal charges, prison time, and the stigma of a felony conviction.
Civil vs. Criminal Pathways
The IRS typically handles unpaid taxes through civil enforcement:
• Penalties and interest
• Liens on property
• Garnishments of wages
• Lawsuits for repayment
Only in rare cases — fewer than 2% of delinquencies — does the government escalate to criminal prosecution, usually when fraud, concealment, or false filings are proven.
Why the Difference Matters
• Civil framing looks like a “hand slap” — repayment without punishment.
• Criminal framing looks like accountability — prison time and felony stigma.
• Selective enforcement raises questions of fairness: why prosecute one high-profile figure criminally, but let another settle civilly?
Hunter Biden’s case shows how criminal prosecution can be used to send a message, while Senator Jim Justice’s case reflects the far more common civil approach. The disparity underscores systemic inconsistency in tax enforcement — and fuels public debate about whether accountability depends more on politics than principle.
Monday, December 1, 2025
Resignations Rising. Majority Crumbling. The GOP’s Exodus: A Canary Warning for Democracy
The Canary in the Coal Mine: GOP Resignations and the Fragile Majority
Marjorie Taylor Greene’s resignation wasn’t just a personal decision — it was a warning shot. A canary in the coal mine for a Republican majority that’s cracking under pressure.
With the GOP holding just 219 seats to Democrats’ 213, every resignation matters. Greene’s departure, coupled with rumors of more to come, signals a deeper instability. Kevin McCarthy called it “a canary in the coal mine,” and he’s right — the fractures are spreading.
Already, 39 Republicans have announced they won’t run in 2026. Greene’s exit accelerates the narrative: a party divided, a majority in peril, and a legislative agenda on life support.
Speaker Mike Johnson faces mounting criticism for sidelining key bills. Trump’s priorities — from immigration to investigations — are stalled. And Greene’s split with Trump over Epstein files and foreign policy reveals a growing rift between MAGA loyalists and traditional conservatives.
This isn’t just political theater. It’s a governance crisis. Special elections could flip seats. Legislative paralysis could deepen. And Democrats are poised to exploit the chaos.
Greene herself predicted Republicans would “likely lose the midterms.” If the exodus continues, she may be right.
When leaders flee, the public must step in to steady democracy.
This is a moment for vigilance, for advocacy, and for clarity. Because instability in Congress translates directly into instability in people’s lives.





